Observed Values and Critical Values

When conducting statistical analyses, many numbers, charts and graphs are outputted. These can be confusing, and it can be challenging to determine what exactly they mean and how we can identify if these figures support or disprove our hypothesis. The two crucial statistical values to determine this are observed values and critical values.

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Contents
Contents

Jump to a key chapter

    • First, we will delve into the observed value meaning and then move on to understand critical values psychology.
    • Then we will learn how hypothesis testing critical values work.
    • To help with your learning, we will look at a critical and observed value psychology example and provide you with a critical values table for the Mann-Whitney U test.

    Observed Value Meaning

    In statistical analyses, the observed value is one of the most important figures as it allows researchers to identify if their data follows the trend predicted in their hypothesis.

    A hypothesis is a predictive statement that states what the researcher expects to find in their study.

    The observed value is found when carrying out statistical tests called inferential tests.

    Some examples of inferential tests are the chi-squared test, Mann-Whitney U test, Wilcoxon, and Spearman's Rho test.

    Now that we've figured out the use of the observed value let's explore the observed value meaning.

    The observed value meaning is the statistical figure that calculates/ measures the trend/ pattern investigated in the research.

    The observed value differs depending on what inferential test is used. For instance, a correlation measures the association/ relationship between variables; using the figure r. In contrast, a t-test compares the mean of two groups; using the figure t.

    Critical Values Psychology

    But how do we know if the observed value we found is significant? And this is where the critical value comes in.

    The critical value is a set value that we look at to see if what we have found (the observed value) is due to the variables investigated or chance.

    The process involves comparing the observed value to the critical value provided by the statistical test we decide to use (this is why it's essential to ensure you're using the proper test).

    First, we need a significance level (p-value) to do this. Usually, the significance level is p = 0.05, although this value can change.

    The 'p' stands for probability.

    A p-score of .05 suggests there is a 5% probability the results we found are due to chance. And p = .01 means there is a 1% probability of the results being due to chance.

    The 0 before the decimal point in critical values is not reported per APA standards.

    Hypothesis Testing Critical Values

    There are different rules regarding the critical value in the tests we mentioned above, the chi-squared test, Mann Whitney U test, Wilcoxon, and Spearman's Rho test.

    • Chi-squared test: significant if the observed value (χ2) is equal to or larger than the critical value

    • Mann-Whitney U test: significant if the observed value (U) is equal to or smaller than the critical value

    • Wilcoxon test: significant if the observed value (T) is equal to or smaller than the critical value

    • Spearman's Rho test: significant if the observed value (r) is equal to or larger than the critical value

    When using a critical values table, the observed value can be compared to the critical value to see if the results are statistically significant. Each statistical test will have its own critical values table. The critical value we need also depends on if our hypothesis is one or two-tailed.

    A one-tailed hypothesis is when the researcher predicts that the findings will go in a particular direction, e.g. getting more sleep will lead to better exam grades.

    A two-tailed hypothesis is a predictive statement that suggests there will be an effect, but the direction is unsure, e.g. if there will be an increase or decrease.

    We need to know two essential things for the critical values table: the 'N' number (number of participants) and the 'df' (degrees of freedom). Each critical table will have a column of N values or df values depending on what test it is.

    • N = number of participants. In an independent group design, there will be different N numbers for each group of participants; this is written as Na (group A) and Nb (group B).
    • df = degrees of freedom refers to the elements allowed to vary in statistical tests. It is used for tests where the number of categories is important, such as the chi-square test (which compares nominal data for different categories to see if there are any differences). The more degrees of freedom, the more categories there are.

    We need to look at the N or df column in critical tables provided by statistical tests to find a comparable critical value. Then we can compare the observed value to the critical value and decide on significance based on the test parameters we covered above.

    Let's look at an example to help you make sense of this.

    Critical and Observed Value Psychology Example

    The Mann-Whitney U test compares the scores between two groups (independent groups design), focusing on ranks and ordinal data. Let's look at the steps involved to see if our results are significant.

    As we see in this table, ten participants are in each group.

    Group A scoresGroup B scores
    324
    56
    84
    1222
    210
    918
    1120
    151
    147
    1719

    We need to work out the observed value, 'U'. To do this, we need to calculate scores for the two groups (Ua and Ub). The U score will be the lower score of the two.

    First, we need to rank each score; this is done for both groups. The highest score is rank 1, the one after that is rank 2, and so on.

    Group A scoresRankGroup B scoresRank
    318241
    516615
    813417
    129222
    2191011
    912185
    1110203
    157120
    148714
    176194

    Now let's work out at Ua. We need to know Na and Nb, the total number of scores in each group. There were 10 participants in each group, so a total of 10 scores for each group, Na = 10 and Nb = 10.

    First, multiply Na and Nb (10 x 10 = 100)

    Then multiply Na by (Na + 1) and then divide by 2 (10 x 11/2 = 110/2 = 55) and add the two scores together (100 + 55 = 155). Afterwards, Group A's ranks should be added together (18 + 16 + 13 + 9 + 19 + 12 + 10 + 7 + 8 +6 = 118). And finally, subtract this from the number in the last step (155 - 118 = 37).

    Thus, Ua = 37

    Then, repeat for Ub; we won't go over the steps again. In this case Ub = 63.

    The U value is the lower of the two, so here, U = 37.

    Next, we need to note if our hypothesis is one or two-tailed and the p-value. Let's suppose our hypothesis is one-tailed with a p-value of 0.05.

    Then we must consult our critical values table for the Mann-Whitney U test.

    How we do calculations depends on the test used because the various inferential tests measure/ calculate different things.

    Critical Values Table

    The critical values table for the Mann-Whitney U test, p ≤ 0.05 (one-tailed), p ≤ 0.10 (two-tailed).

    Nb

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    Na

    5

    4

    5

    6

    8

    9

    11

    12

    13

    15

    16

    18

    19

    20

    22

    23

    25

    6

    5

    7

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    17

    19

    21

    23

    25

    26

    28

    30

    32

    7

    6

    8

    11

    13

    15

    17

    19

    21

    24

    26

    28

    30

    33

    35

    37

    39

    8

    8

    10

    13

    15

    18

    20

    23

    26

    28

    31

    33

    36

    39

    41

    44

    47

    9

    9

    12

    15

    18

    21

    24

    27

    30

    33

    36

    39

    42

    45

    48

    51

    54

    10

    11

    14

    17

    20

    24

    27

    31

    34

    37

    41

    44

    48

    51

    55

    58

    62

    11

    12

    16

    19

    23

    27

    31

    34

    38

    42

    46

    50

    54

    57

    61

    65

    69

    12

    13

    17

    21

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    47

    51

    55

    60

    64

    68

    72

    77

    13

    15

    19

    24

    28

    33

    37

    42

    47

    51

    56

    61

    65

    70

    75

    82

    84

    14

    16

    21

    26

    31

    36

    41

    46

    51

    56

    61

    66

    71

    77

    82

    87

    92

    15

    18

    23

    28

    33

    39

    44

    50

    55

    61

    66

    72

    77

    83

    88

    94

    100

    16

    19

    25

    30

    36

    42

    48

    54

    60

    65

    71

    77

    83

    89

    95

    101

    107

    17

    20

    26

    33

    39

    45

    51

    57

    64

    70

    77

    83

    89

    96

    102

    109

    115

    18

    22

    28

    35

    41

    48

    55

    61

    68

    75

    82

    88

    95

    102

    109

    116

    123

    19

    23

    30

    37

    44

    51

    58

    65

    72

    80

    87

    94

    101

    109

    116

    123

    130

    20

    25

    32

    39

    47

    54

    62

    69

    77

    84

    92

    100

    107

    115

    123

    130

    138

    The values we need have been highlighted. First, we find Na, which in our case is 10. Then we find Nb, which is 10 too. We find the value where these two meet, which is the critical value. Here it is, 27.

    Our observed value is 37, which is larger than the critical value of 27.

    Therefore, our results are not significant, so we can accept the null hypothesis and reject the alternative hypothesis.

    From this critical and observed psychology example, we can infer there is no statistical difference between the scores of the two groups. i.e. the null hypothesis is accepted.


    Observed Values and Critical Values - Key takeaways

    • The observed value meaning is the statistical figure that calculates/ measures the trend/ pattern investigated in the research.
    • Critical values psychology is a statistical figure used to identify if the results from inferential tests are significant or if they occurred due to chance.
    • The critical and observed value psychology research is compared to identify whether the null or alternative hypothesis should be accepted/ rejected.
    • The critical values table allows the comparison of observed and critical values to identify if the results are statistically significant.
    • How researchers calculate and make inferences based on the observed and critical values depends on the inferential test the researcher uses.
    Frequently Asked Questions about Observed Values and Critical Values

    What do critical values mean?

    Critical values psychology is a statistical figure used to identify if the results from inferential tests are significant or if they occurred due to chance.

    What is the difference between critical and observed value? 

    The observed value is the result obtained from a statistical test. We can compare the observed value to the critical value to see if it is significant or not.

    How do we find the observed value in psychology? 

    Finding the observed value depends on the statistical test used and can be found using calculations and the corresponding critical values table. 

    What are critical values for a test of hypothesis? 

    Hypothesis testing critical values is when we look to see if what we have found is due to the variables proposed in the hypothesis or chance. For some tests, the observed value needs to be the same or lower than the critical value to be significant. It needs to be the same or higher than the critical value for other tests to be significant. 

    What are critical values and observed values in research?

    The observed value meaning is the statistical figure that calculates/ measures the trend/ pattern investigated in the research. 

    Critical values psychology is a statistical figure used to identify if the results from inferential tests are significant or if they occurred due to chance.

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    Test your knowledge with multiple choice flashcards

    What is a one-tailed hypothesis?

    Chi-squared test:             if the observed value (χ2)  is equal to or larger than the critical value

    Mann-Whitney U test:                  if the observed value (U) is larger than the critical value

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